02 September, 2009

M&A next wave - let's speculate

Over the past years, I have read interesting articles, books and blogs on Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A).   Bruce Wasserstein wrote this excellent book that I use as a reference point from time-to-time - Big Deal, Mergers and Acquisitions in the Digital Age.  In the first section, Past as Prelude, he refers to five M&A waves:
1st   -  1800s: M&A focused on horizontal integration - the railroad empires
2nd  -  1930: Rising market and strong industrial growth fuel merger movement
3rd  -  1960: Diversification era forms conglomerates
4th  -   1970: Hostile takeovers era
5th  -   2000: Repositioning in changing competitive environment

How about we try to label the up coming wave?  Could it read: “2010:  Big is back” which is the title on the front page of this week’s Economist magazine. As small companies crumble under recessionary pressures, and where governments are busy rescuing companies too big to fail this suggested title might make sense.

On the other hand, we can also consider the next phase as one of being careful and well-planned M&A where the venture-capital market moves forward with caution remembering how bad it hurt.  This is where I would like us to be: “2010: M&A focus on strategic alignment and successful integration”.

What do you think?

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